Bitcoin’s Bullish Breakout: What’s Next for BTC in 2025?

Bitcoin’s recent surge has crypto enthusiasts buzzing with excitement. With a solid 9.84% weekly return, BTC has decisively broken out of a descending trendline that had held since March 2024. But what does this mean for investors?

According to Sina, co-founder of 21st Capital, Bitcoin’s current price sits in the lower range of its 2025 valuation model. Let’s dive into the details and explore the possible price zones for the coming years.

Bitcoin’s Future: Cold, Warm, or Hot?

Sina introduced a quantile regression model, categorizing Bitcoin’s price trajectory for 2025 into three distinct zones:

Bitcoin Price Model

🧊 Cold Zone ($55,000 – $85,000)

This region represents Bitcoin’s lower boundary, where seasoned investors accumulate long-term positions. BTC’s current price falls within this range, suggesting a strong accumulation phase before the next major upward movement.

🔥 Warm Zone ($85,000 – $136,000)

Once Bitcoin enters this phase, retail investor interest tends to skyrocket. This zone marks new all-time highs, triggering price discovery and attracting more buyers into the market.

🚀 Hot Zone ($136,000 – $285,000)

The peak valuation area, where Bitcoin inches toward its bull market euphoria. However, increased volatility in this zone could lead to sharp market reversals, driven by heavy speculation and profit-taking.

Sina emphasized:

“Bitcoin consistently spends about one-third of its time in each phase before transitioning, making these patterns highly predictable.”

Can Bitcoin Hold Its Ground at $68,500?

Another crucial aspect of Bitcoin’s movement revolves around key support levels. On-chain data from IntoTheBlock highlights $68,500 as a historically significant price mark.

Bitcoin Active Addresses

🔹 Over 320,000 active addresses have interacted with BTC near this level.
🔹 Approximately 68% of users have engaged with Bitcoin at an average price of $68,572.
🔹 This suggests strong potential support, barring major macroeconomic disruptions.

Short-Term Outlook: What’s Next?

Despite an overall bullish structure, Bitcoin has faced a slight pullback, correcting 3% to $67,000 from its recent peak of $69,555.

Bitcoin 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, BTC is bouncing off the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), hinting at a potential consolidation phase.

🚨 Key Levels to Watch:

✅ Bullish Scenario: A quick reclaim of $68,500 could resume Bitcoin’s uptrend.
❌ Bearish Scenario: Sustained sideways movement at current levels might trigger a deeper correction.

Final Thoughts

Bitcoin’s breakout has set the stage for an exciting 2025 price trajectory. Whether BTC remains in the cold accumulation zone or transitions into price discovery mode, the next few months will be crucial.

With data-backed insights and historical patterns, investors can navigate the market with greater confidence. Buckle up—it’s going to be an exhilarating ride! 🚀

🔗 Related: 3 signs Bitcoin’s ‘parabolic phase’ with a $250K target is about to begin

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.